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What are the chances i'm beat on the flop?

GfOrcebOnd, May 20 2009

Submitted by : GfOrcebOnd

PokerStars Game #28427808065: Holdem No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2009/05/20 18:21:25 ET
Table Nasl VIII 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: Hero ($34.25 in chips)
Seat 2: Burnhoose ($40.25 in chips)
Seat 3: khk24 ($27.10 in chips)
Seat 4: lilstrom ($45.50 in chips)
Seat 5: otoo117 ($28.05 in chips)
Seat 6: DoC.LemOn ($25 in chips)
DoC.LemOn: posts small blind $0.10
Hero: posts big blind $0.25

Holecards
Dealt to Hero
Burnhoose: calls $0.25
khk24: folds
lilstrom: folds
otoo117: folds
DoC.LemOn: folds
Hero: raises $1.25 to $1.50
Burnhoose: raises $7 to $8.50
Hero: raises $25.75 to $34.25 and is all-in
Burnhoose: calls $25.75

Flop (Pot : $68.60)

Take a look.

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Comments (11)

Is it possible to fold in this spot?

GfOrcebOnd, May 20 2009

Submitted by : GfOrcebOnd

PokerStars Game #28421152961: Holdem No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2009/05/20 15:25:01 ET
Table Vaino II 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: Hero ($28.80 in chips)
Seat 2: durrrka ($35.55 in chips)
Seat 3: AAGAMBLER ($25 in chips)
Seat 4: ZERIC77 ($25.65 in chips)
Seat 5: Dann Turner ($25 in chips)
Seat 6: kilsonsena ($26.95 in chips)
Hero: posts small blind $0.10
durrrka: posts big blind $0.25

Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to Hero
AAGAMBLER: folds
ZERIC77: folds
Dann Turner: raises $0.75 to $1
kilsonsena: folds
Hero: calls $0.90
durrrka: folds

Flop(Odds) (Pot : $2.25)


Hero: bets $1.25
Dann Turner: raises $3.25 to $4.50
Hero: raises $5.75 to $10.25
Dann Turner: raises $13.75 to $24 and is all-in
Hero said, "aa?"
Hero said, "i cant fold "
Hero: calls $13.75

Turn(Odds) (Pot : $50.25)



River (Pot : $50.25)



Showdown
Hero: shows (three of a kind, Sixes)
Dann Turner: shows (three of a kind, Tens)
Dann Turner collected $47.75 from pot

Summary
Total pot $50.25 | Rake $2.50
Board
Seat 1: Hero (small blind) showed and lost with three of a kind, Sixes
Seat 2: durrrka (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: AAGAMBLER folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 4: ZERIC77 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 5: Dann Turner showed and won ($47.75) with three of a kind, Tens
Seat 6: kilsonsena (button) folded before Flop (didnt bet)

Once he re raises all in i was pretty sure i was crushed or he had like AK with the king of clubs. That's really the best i could hope for. Maybe he floped a flush and i'm drawing live, but i really tought he either had AK with a redraw or a set. Let me know what u guys think. Is it really possible to get away from this? I figure i donk bet it maybe he's got an ace. Then once he raised i thought maybe big ace with redraw. But then once he moved all in i was pretty sure i was beat i had so much in there too after he did that.. Even if u think he's got a flush do i have odds to call with my set? His numbers really pretty normal. Like 24/10 and agression on flop was only like 1.0 or w/e it was. I was like fuck..

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Comments (2)

Whats your opionon on this hand

GfOrcebOnd, May 20 2009

Submitted by : GfOrcebOnd

PokerStars Game #28404964228: Holdem No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2009/05/20 3:47:12 ET
Table Titania III 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: fargenbastig ($19.45 in chips)
Seat 2: Velja_Jaksic ($12.40 in chips)
Seat 3: GoatFurck ($22.80 in chips)
Seat 4: Hero ($42.15 in chips)
Seat 5: h_man87 ($32.60 in chips)
Seat 6: cmak06 ($48.20 in chips)
cmak06: posts small blind $0.10
fargenbastig: posts big blind $0.25

Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to Hero
Velja_Jaksic: folds
GoatFurck: folds
Hero: raises $0.75 to $1
h_man87: folds
cmak06: folds
fargenbastig: calls $0.75

Flop(Odds) (Pot : $2.10)


fargenbastig: bets $1
Hero: raises $2 to $3
fargenbastig: raises $3 to $6
Hero: raises $35.15 to $41.15 and is all-in
fargenbastig: calls $12.45 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($22.70) returned to Hero

Turn(Odds) (Pot : $39.00)



River (Pot : $39.00)



Showdown
fargenbastig: shows (two pair, Aces and Sevens)
Hero: mucks hand
fargenbastig collected $37.10 from pot

Summary
Total pot $39 | Rake $1.90
Board
Seat 1: fargenbastig (big blind) showed and won ($37.10) with two pair, Aces and Sevens
Seat 2: Velja_Jaksic folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 3: GoatFurck folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 4: Hero mucked
Seat 5: h_man87 (button) folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 6: cmak06 (small blind) folded before Flop

This guy donk bets the PFR 90 percent of the time. and his flop aggression was over 3.9 at 79% percent. Now at first when he donk bet i was like ok w/e i'm pretty sure i got the best hand so i'll raise see what he does. Then he RE raises. MY isntant reaction was to push all in but then i started to think to myself and was like would he do this with a10?! So the more i thougt about it the more i was worried he had me beat, but i couldn't help notice how aggresive he was on the flop and how often he donk bets the flop so i had to call in my eyes. Is it a bad play? This is what drives me nuts. Holdem manager made me call, but my instincts told me to fold.

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Comments (4)